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25 May 2026 15:00 UTC

AASANE vs RAUFOSS

Final 3:0 Almanac Moment

Aasane won Last goal: Aasane

Match timeline

2nd half

⚽ Magnus Haga — Aasane
⚽ Malvin Ingebrigtsen — Aasane
⚽ Joakim Aasen — Aasane

Model predictions were

45%

1X2

Aasane

Result: Aasane

54%

Both teams to score

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No

85%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

56%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

65%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

77%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 58% (Good)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 19 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 243 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 197 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)

Both teams to score 59% (Good)

Total 1.5 81% (Strong)

Total 2.5 54% (Average)

Total 3.5 53% (Average)

Total 4.5 66% (Strong)

Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 49 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)

Both teams to score 57% (Good)

Total 1.5 88% (Strong)

Total 2.5 47% (Average)

Total 3.5 49% (Average)

Total 4.5 63% (Good)

Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)

156 predictions

Both teams to score 50% (Average)

68 predictions

Total 1.5 90% (Strong)

170 predictions

Total 2.5 65% (Good)

134 predictions

Total 3.5 62% (Good)

110 predictions

Total 4.5 80% (Strong)

141 predictions

Match overview

Detailed match analysis for Aasane vs Raufoss after full time. The match ended 3-0 in Norway · 1. Division. Pre-match projections pointed to Aasane with a weak indicator at 45.3%.

The outcome aligned with the model’s expectation. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 66% of matches across a sample of 197 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 57.1% in a sample of 49 team involvements.

Across settled lines, market signals aligned strongly with the final outcome. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (85.2%) came in as a high-confidence indicator and was correctly identified. Over 2.5 goals (56.4%) held up in the final outcome, both teams to score (53.6%) was correctly identified.

Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. This prediction analysis remains most effective when result context, market outcomes, and team tendencies are read together.