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25 May 2026 15:00 UTC

HOEDD vs EGERSUND

Final 3:1

Hoedd won Last goal: Egersund

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Isak Gabriel Skotheim — Hoedd
⚽ Isak Gabriel Skotheim (penalty) — Hoedd

2nd half

⚽ Villum Dalsgaard — Hoedd
⚽ Kristian Eggen — Egersund

Model predictions were

39%

1X2

Hoedd

Result: Hoedd

62%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

85%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

56%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

35%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Over

20%

Total 4.5

Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under

Score

3:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 36% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 42 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 243 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 197 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)

Both teams to score 59% (Good)

Total 1.5 81% (Strong)

Total 2.5 54% (Average)

Total 3.5 53% (Average)

Total 4.5 66% (Strong)

Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 48 past matches

1X2 46% (Average)

Both teams to score 58% (Good)

Total 1.5 75% (Strong)

Total 2.5 54% (Average)

Total 3.5 65% (Good)

Total 4.5 67% (Strong)

Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)

156 predictions

Both teams to score 64% (Good)

129 predictions

Total 1.5 90% (Strong)

170 predictions

Total 2.5 65% (Good)

134 predictions

Total 3.5 41% (Weak)

87 predictions

Total 4.5 30% (Weak)

56 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Hoedd vs Egersund. The match ended 3-1 in Norway · 1. Division. The model favored Hoedd with a marginal edge (39.3%).

The final result matched the model’s primary prediction. Market-level signals were consistent and accurate across the settled lines. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (85.2%) came in as a strong signal and aligned with the result.

Over 2.5 goals (56.4%) came in as a balanced signal and was confirmed by the match. Both teams to score (62.3%) held up in the final outcome. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 66% of matches across a sample of 197 games.

Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 58.3% in a sample of 48 team involvements. Even when the main prediction misses, underlying data can still highlight key match patterns. This prediction analysis remains most effective when result context, market outcomes, and team tendencies are read together.

HOEDD vs EGERSUND

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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