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25 May 2026 15:00 UTC

STABAEK vs KONGSVINGER

Final 2:0

Stabaek won Last goal: Stabaek

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Alagie Sanyang — Stabaek

2nd half

⚽ Magnus Lankhof-Dahlby — Stabaek

Model predictions were

39%

1X2

Kongsvinger

Result: Stabaek

62%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: No

85%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

56%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under

35%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under

20%

Total 4.5

Over

Chance of 5 or more goals

Result: Under

Score

2:4

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 31% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 16 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 243 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 197 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)

Both teams to score 59% (Good)

Total 1.5 81% (Strong)

Total 2.5 54% (Average)

Total 3.5 53% (Average)

Total 4.5 66% (Strong)

Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 49 past matches

1X2 37% (Weak)

Both teams to score 57% (Good)

Total 1.5 82% (Strong)

Total 2.5 63% (Good)

Total 3.5 51% (Average)

Total 4.5 65% (Strong)

Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)

156 predictions

Both teams to score 64% (Good)

129 predictions

Total 1.5 90% (Strong)

170 predictions

Total 2.5 65% (Good)

134 predictions

Total 3.5 41% (Weak)

87 predictions

Total 4.5 30% (Weak)

56 predictions

Match overview

Match result and prediction analysis for Stabaek vs Kongsvinger. The match ended 2-0 in Norway · 1. Division. The model favored Kongsvinger with a marginal edge (39.3%).

The main outcome missed, but several market signals were accurate. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 66% of matches across a sample of 197 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 57.1% in a sample of 49 team involvements.

Market-level signals were partially accurate across the main goal-related markets. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (85.2%) came in as a clear statistical edge and aligned with the result. Over 2.5 goals (56.4%) did not land, both teams to score (62.3%) did not match the outcome.

The model output remains a useful reference when combined with match context. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

STABAEK vs KONGSVINGER

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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