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25 May 2026 15:00 UTC

FK HAUGESUND vs MOSS

Final 3:1

FK Haugesund won Last goal: FK Haugesund

Match timeline

2nd half

⚽ Sigurd Grönli — Moss
⚽ Sory Diarra — FK Haugesund
⚽ Sory Diarra — FK Haugesund
⚽ Lars Bjoernerud Remmem — FK Haugesund

Model predictions were

51%

1X2

FK Haugesund

Result: FK Haugesund

54%

Both teams to score

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes

85%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

34%

Total 2.5

Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over

58%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over

77%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 65% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 20 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 243 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 197 completed matches.

1X2 45% (Weak)

Both teams to score 59% (Good)

Total 1.5 81% (Strong)

Total 2.5 54% (Average)

Total 3.5 53% (Average)

Total 4.5 66% (Strong)

Score 5% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 33 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)

Both teams to score 61% (Good)

Total 1.5 79% (Strong)

Total 2.5 42% (Weak)

Total 3.5 33% (Weak)

Total 4.5 58% (Good)

Score 3% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 45% (Weak)

156 predictions

Both teams to score 50% (Average)

68 predictions

Total 1.5 90% (Strong)

170 predictions

Total 2.5 30% (Weak)

63 predictions

Total 3.5 62% (Good)

110 predictions

Total 4.5 80% (Strong)

141 predictions

Match overview

Detailed match analysis for FK Haugesund vs Moss after full time. The match ended 3-1 in Norway · 1. Division. The model favored FK Haugesund with a low-confidence projection (51%).

The final result matched the model’s primary prediction. Several market indicators held up, while others were not confirmed by the match result. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (85.2%) was identified as a high-confidence indicator and was correctly identified.

Over 2.5 goals (34.1%) fell short of the result, both teams to score (53.6%) was not confirmed. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 66% of matches across a sample of 197 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 60.6% in a sample of 33 team involvements.

The model output remains a useful reference when combined with match context. This prediction analysis remains most effective when result context, market outcomes, and team tendencies are read together.

FK HAUGESUND vs MOSS

Match timeline

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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