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30 May 2026 14:15 UTC

REAL SOCIEDAD B vs CULTURAL LEONESA

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Real Sociedad B

Match timeline

2nd half

⚽ Lucas Ribeiro — Cultural Leonesa
⚽ Arkaitz Mariezkurrena — Real Sociedad B

Model predictions were

39%

1X2

Real Sociedad B

Result: Draw

57%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

74%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

51%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under

71%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

86%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 42% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 109 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 25% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 455 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 441 completed matches.

1X2 40% (Weak)

Both teams to score 51% (Average)

Total 1.5 61% (Good)

Total 2.5 55% (Average)

Total 3.5 64% (Good)

Total 4.5 79% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 80 past matches

1X2 38% (Weak)

Both teams to score 54% (Average)

Total 1.5 65% (Strong)

Total 2.5 53% (Average)

Total 3.5 61% (Good)

Total 4.5 75% (Strong)

Score 6% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 40% (Weak)

323 predictions

Both teams to score 56% (Good)

251 predictions

Total 1.5 73% (Strong)

320 predictions

Total 2.5 55% (Average)

199 predictions

Total 3.5 74% (Strong)

342 predictions

Total 4.5 86% (Strong)

402 predictions

Match overview

Final result breakdown for Real Sociedad B vs Cultural Leonesa. The match ended 1-1 in Spain · Segunda División · LaLiga2. The model favored Real Sociedad B with a weak indicator (39.3%).

While the winner prediction missed, other signals held up well. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 78.9% of matches across a sample of 441 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 53.8% in a sample of 80 team involvements.

Several market indicators held up, while others were not confirmed by the match result. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (74.4%) appeared as a clear statistical edge and was correctly identified. Over 2.5 goals (51.4%) appeared as a weak indicator and did not land.

Both teams to score (56.7%) held up in the final outcome. The model output remains a useful reference when combined with match context. This prediction analysis remains most effective when result context, market outcomes, and team tendencies are read together.

REAL SOCIEDAD B vs CULTURAL LEONESA

Match timeline

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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