← Back to matches

Chile · Primera B

16 May 2026 19:00 UTC

COBRELOA vs DEPORTES COPIAPO

Final 4:1

Cobreloa won Last goal: Cobreloa

Match timeline

1st half

  1. Cristian Insaurralde (penalty) — Cobreloa
  2. Gustavo Gotti (penalty) — Cobreloa

2nd half

  1. Enzo Fernández — Deportes Copiapo
  2. Alvaro Delgado — Cobreloa
  3. Alvaro Delgado — Cobreloa

Model predictions were

As expected
48%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
37%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
10%
Score
3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 16 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 244 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 205 completed matches.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 51 past matches

1X2 31% (Weak)
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
Total 1.5 53% (Average)
Total 2.5 47% (Average)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 33% (Weak)
143 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
99 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
147 predictions
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
92 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
159 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
189 predictions

Match overview