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Chile · Primera B

17 May 2026 19:00 UTC

SAN LUIS vs PUERTO MONTT

Final 4:1

San Luis won Last goal: San Luis

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Luis Madrigal — San Luis
  2. 🟥 Luis Madrigal (straight red) — San Luis
  3. 🟥 Ariel Morales (straight red) — Puerto Montt
  4. ⚽ Nicolas Munoz — San Luis
  5. ⚽ Luciano Vasquez — Puerto Montt

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Gamal Plaza (penalty) — San Luis
  2. ⚽ Gamal Plaza — San Luis

Model predictions were

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
Result: San Luis
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Off target
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Big miss
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
5%
Score
1:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 4:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 62 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 248 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 209 completed matches.

1X2 23% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 79% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 33 past matches

1X2 30% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 70% (Strong)
Total 2.5 33% (Weak)
Total 3.5 58% (Good)
Total 4.5 85% (Strong)
Score 0% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 23% (Weak)
62 predictions
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
107 predictions
Total 1.5 74% (Strong)
151 predictions
Total 2.5 49% (Average)
115 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
162 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
192 predictions

Match overview

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