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Chile · Primera B

16 May 2026 21:30 UTC

CURICO UNIDO vs SANTIAGO WANDERERS

Final 0:3

Santiago Wanderers won Last goal: Santiago Wanderers

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Denilson San Martin — Santiago Wanderers
  2. ⚽ Nicolás Fernández (own goal) — Santiago Wanderers
  3. 🟥 Francisco Oliver (straight red) — Curico Unido

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Vicente Vargas — Santiago Wanderers

Model predictions were

Solid call
40%
1X2
Santiago Wanderers
Result: Santiago Wanderers
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
Solid call
74%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
As expected
48%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
67%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
86%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
0:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:3

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 23% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 13 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 29% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 244 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 205 completed matches.

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 45% (Weak)
Total 3.5 59% (Good)
Total 4.5 80% (Strong)
Score 5% (Risky)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 51 past matches

1X2 24% (Weak)
Both teams to score 61% (Good)
Total 1.5 69% (Strong)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 51% (Average)
Total 4.5 73% (Strong)
Score 4% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 33% (Weak)
143 predictions
Both teams to score 49% (Average)
99 predictions
Total 1.5 73% (Strong)
147 predictions
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
113 predictions
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
159 predictions
Total 4.5 86% (Strong)
189 predictions

Match overview

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