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Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Intermedio Grp. B

18 May 2026 21:30 UTC

DEPORTIVO MALDONADO vs DANUBIO

Final 3:1

Deportivo Maldonado won Last goal: Danubio

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Santiago Ramírez — Deportivo Maldonado
  2. ⚽ Cristian Tabo — Deportivo Maldonado

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Gonzalo Larrazabal — Deportivo Maldonado
  2. ⚽ Maicol Ferreira — Danubio
  3. 🟥 Facundo Tealde (2nd yellow) — Deportivo Maldonado
  4. 🟥 Emiliano Velázquez (straight red) — Danubio

Model predictions were

Nice call
39%
1X2
Deportivo Maldonado
Result: Deportivo Maldonado
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
Off target
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Over
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
2:1

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 40% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 70 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 284 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 233 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 55% (Average)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 40 past matches

1X2 40% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
165 predictions
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
103 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
145 predictions
Total 2.5 43% (Weak)
86 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
209 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
228 predictions

Match overview

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