← Back to matches

Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Intermedio Grp. A

22 May 2026 22:30 UTC

LIVERPOOL FC vs RACING

Awaits result

Lineups confirmed

Model prediction

39%

1X2

Liverpool FC

48%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

70%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

45%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

73%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

89%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Score

2:1

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 41% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 71 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 285 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 234 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)

Both teams to score 51% (Average)

Total 1.5 55% (Average)

Total 2.5 50% (Average)

Total 3.5 73% (Strong)

Total 4.5 91% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 57 past matches

1X2 30% (Weak)

Both teams to score 47% (Average)

Total 1.5 63% (Good)

Total 2.5 47% (Average)

Total 3.5 74% (Strong)

Total 4.5 89% (Strong)

Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)

166 predictions

Both teams to score 48% (Average)

104 predictions

Total 1.5 67% (Strong)

146 predictions

Total 2.5 44% (Weak)

87 predictions

Total 3.5 79% (Strong)

210 predictions

Total 4.5 93% (Strong)

229 predictions

Match preview

This match preview looks at Liverpool FC vs Racing (Friday. May 22, 2026) in Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Intermedio Grp. A.

We pair odds with statistics from the model. The published prediction points to Liverpool FC. Key markets carry the supporting probability.

We add a concrete scoreline (2-1). It makes the forecast easy to read next to totals and BTTS.

The 1.5-goals read is high. Expecting two or more goals is the simple read on early scoring. Under 2.5 goals is the lean.

Fewer goals may come from set pieces more than open play. Both teams to score sits in the middle. It is not a runaway “yes” or a default clean sheet.

The strongest signal sits on over/under 1.5 goals and both teams to score. The model separates most there.

Margins are tight. Pair the headline prediction with odds and match-day facts.

In Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Intermedio Grp. A (about 234 settled picks in the league set). Over/under 4.5 goals was the most reliable market in our window at about 91%.

Across both teams, our sample (57 predictions) hits about 29.8% on the result market. In this league sample, hit rates stay useful background. They do not overfit one match.

Totals and both-teams-to-score lines often move the odds. They also drive post-match reviews.

Use this football prediction as one input. Check odds moves and team news before you decide.