← Back to matches

Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura

08 May 2026 22:30 UTC

MONTEVIDEO WANDERERS vs LIVERPOOL FC

Awaits result

Lineups confirmed Last goal: Montevideo Wanderers

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Joaquín Zeballos (penalty) — Montevideo Wanderers

Model prediction

37%

1X2

Montevideo Wanderers

48%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

70%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

45%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

28%

Total 3.5

Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

89%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Score

3:1

Chance of this exact score

Model Context

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 23 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 273 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 223 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)

Both teams to score 52% (Average)

Total 1.5 55% (Good)

Total 2.5 51% (Average)

Total 3.5 73% (Strong)

Total 4.5 91% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 55 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)

Both teams to score 45% (Average)

Total 1.5 58% (Good)

Total 2.5 40% (Weak)

Total 3.5 75% (Strong)

Total 4.5 91% (Strong)

Score 2% (Risky)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)

156 predictions

Both teams to score 47% (Average)

100 predictions

Total 1.5 67% (Strong)

139 predictions

Total 2.5 42% (Weak)

83 predictions

Total 3.5 22% (Weak)

23 predictions

Total 4.5 93% (Strong)

218 predictions

Match preview

In this match, our football prediction preview covers Montevideo Wanderers vs Liverpool FC on Friday, May 8, 2026. In Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura. Readers who want a football prediction see Montevideo Wanderers as the main scenario in this preview.

The score prediction here is 3-1. It anchors the story even if the result differs.

On 1.5 goals, there is a high chance of at least two goals. The odds often line up with that.

The model leans under 2.5 goals. The preview tilts to a lower score unless chances pile up late. Both teams to score sits in the middle.

It is not a runaway “yes” or a default clean sheet. The strongest signal sits on over/under 1.5 goals and both teams to score. The model separates most there.

Margins are tight. Pair the headline prediction with odds and match-day facts. In Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura (about 223 settled picks in the league set).

Over/under 4.5 goals was the most reliable market in our window at about 91.5%. Across both teams, our sample (55 predictions) hits about 34.6% on the result market.

Historically, league statistics show how often similar markets land once you know the result. Read each market number as guidance, not a guarantee.

The statistics stay transparent. If you shop lines, let the statistics narrow the question. Then pick a price you accept.

MONTEVIDEO WANDERERS vs LIVERPOOL FC

Match timeline

1st half

Model prediction

Model Context

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match preview

Related matches