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Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura

11 May 2026 20:00 UTC

DEPORTIVO MALDONADO vs BOSTON RIVER

Final 2:1

Deportivo Maldonado won Last goal: Deportivo Maldonado

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Renato Cesar — Deportivo Maldonado
  2. ⚽ Mateo Rivero — Boston River

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Guillermo López — Deportivo Maldonado

Model predictions were

Nice call
37%
1X2
Deportivo Maldonado
Result: Deportivo Maldonado
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 37% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 67 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 276 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 226 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 55% (Average)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 42 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 48% (Average)
Total 1.5 60% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 71% (Strong)
Total 4.5 90% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
158 predictions
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
125 predictions
Total 1.5 35% (Weak)
85 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
142 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
202 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
221 predictions

Match overview

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