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Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura

09 May 2026 18:30 UTC

DANUBIO vs ALBION

Final 0:1

Albion won Last goal: Albion

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Alvaro Lopez — Albion

Model predictions were

37%

1X2

Danubio

Result: Albion

54%

Both teams to score

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No

70%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Under

55%

Total 2.5

Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under

73%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

89%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 0:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 23 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 273 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 223 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)

Both teams to score 52% (Average)

Total 1.5 55% (Good)

Total 2.5 51% (Average)

Total 3.5 73% (Strong)

Total 4.5 91% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 40 past matches

1X2 45% (Average)

Both teams to score 50% (Average)

Total 1.5 58% (Good)

Total 2.5 50% (Average)

Total 3.5 70% (Strong)

Total 4.5 90% (Strong)

Score 8% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)

156 predictions

Both teams to score 55% (Good)

123 predictions

Total 1.5 67% (Strong)

139 predictions

Total 2.5 56% (Good)

140 predictions

Total 3.5 79% (Strong)

200 predictions

Total 4.5 93% (Strong)

218 predictions

Match overview

Post-match review for Danubio vs Albion. The match ended 0-1 in Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura. Pre-match projections pointed to Danubio with a weak indicator at 36.6%.

The main outcome missed, but several market signals were accurate. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 91.5% of matches across a sample of 223 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 50% in a sample of 40 team involvements.

Several market indicators held up, while others were not confirmed by the match result. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (70.1%) was identified as a high-confidence indicator and was not confirmed. Over 2.5 goals (55%) was identified as a low-confidence signal and aligned with the result.

Both teams to score (53.6%) held up in the final outcome. The model output remains a useful reference when combined with match context. Signals remained consistent in parts of the market profile, which keeps the model useful for future match evaluation.

DANUBIO vs ALBION

Match timeline

1st half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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