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Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura

10 May 2026 14:00 UTC

DEFENSOR SPORTING vs JUVENTUD DE LAS PIEDRAS

Final 1:2

Juventud de las Piedras won Last goal: Juventud de las Piedras

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Alejo Cruz — Juventud de las Piedras
  2. 🟥 Pablo Lago (straight red) — Juventud de las Piedras

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Lucas Agazzi — Defensor Sporting
  2. 🟥 Lucas de los Santos (straight red) — Defensor Sporting
  3. ⚽ Ramiro Peralta — Juventud de las Piedras

Model predictions were

As expected
Favorite
37%
1X2
Defensor Sporting
Result: Juventud de las Piedras
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
55%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Off target
15%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 38% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 66 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 274 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 224 completed matches.

1X2 37% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 55% (Average)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)
Both teams to score 50% (Average)
Total 1.5 43% (Weak)
Total 2.5 61% (Good)
Total 3.5 81% (Strong)
Total 4.5 96% (Strong)
Score 15% (Good)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 37% (Weak)
157 predictions
Both teams to score 56% (Good)
124 predictions
Total 1.5 36% (Weak)
84 predictions
Total 2.5 56% (Good)
141 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
201 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
219 predictions

Match overview

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