← Back to matches

Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura

10 May 2026 19:00 UTC

MONTEVIDEO CITY TORQUE vs CLUB ATLETICO PROGRESO

Final 2:1

Montevideo City Torque won Last goal: Montevideo City Torque

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Nahuel Lopez — Club Atletico Progreso
  2. ⚽ — — Montevideo City Torque
  3. ⚽ Facundo Silvera — Montevideo City Torque

Model predictions were

As expected
37%
1X2
Draw
Result: Montevideo City Torque
Nice call
48%
Both teams to score
Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Lucky hit
45%
Total 2.5
Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over
No surprise
28%
Total 3.5
Over

Chance of 4 or more goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
11%
Score
2:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 24% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (0; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 67 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 274 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 224 completed matches.

1X2 24% (Weak)
Both teams to score 52% (Average)
Total 1.5 55% (Average)
Total 2.5 51% (Average)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 92% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 56 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 61% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 63% (Good)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 11% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 24% (Weak)
67 predictions
Both teams to score 47% (Average)
100 predictions
Total 1.5 66% (Strong)
140 predictions
Total 2.5 42% (Weak)
83 predictions
Total 3.5 22% (Weak)
23 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
219 predictions

Match overview

Related matches

Awaits result
10 May 22:30 UTC
Nacional vs Cerro
1X2 Home
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
U 1.5 U 2.5 U 3.5 U 4.5
Score 1 : 0
Finished
10 May 14:00 UTC
Defensor Sporting vs Juventud de las Piedras
1X2 Away
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 1:2
Awaits result
09 May 21:30 UTC
Central Espanol vs Racing
1X2 Away
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
O 1.5 O 2.5 O 3.5 U 4.5
Score 1 : 3
Finished
09 May 18:30 UTC
Danubio vs Albion
1X2 Away
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Under 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 0:1
Finished
11 May 20:00 UTC
Deportivo Maldonado vs Boston River
1X2 Home
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 2:1
Finished
11 May 23:30 UTC
Cerro Largo vs Club Atletico Penarol
1X2 Away
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Over 4.5 Over
Score 2:3
Awaits result
08 May 22:30 UTC
Montevideo Wanderers vs Liverpool FC
1X2 Home
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
O 1.5 O 2.5 O 3.5 U 4.5
Score 3 : 1
Finished
15 May 23:00 UTC
Montevideo City Torque vs Nacional
1X2 Away
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 1:2