← Back to matches

Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Intermedio Grp. B

23 May 2026 13:00 UTC

CLUB ATLETICO PROGRESO vs MONTEVIDEO CITY TORQUE

Final 1:2

Montevideo City Torque won Last goal: Montevideo City Torque

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Nahuel Da Silva (penalty) — Montevideo City Torque
  2. ⚽ Nahuel Lopez — Club Atletico Progreso

2nd half

  1. 🟥 Mauro Martin (2nd yellow) — Club Atletico Progreso
  2. ⚽ Salomón Rodríguez — Montevideo City Torque

Model predictions were

As expected
39%
1X2
Club Atletico Progreso
Result: Montevideo City Torque
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
10%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:2

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 41% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 71 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 285 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 234 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 55% (Average)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 36% (Weak)
Both teams to score 53% (Average)
Total 1.5 62% (Good)
Total 2.5 52% (Average)
Total 3.5 62% (Good)
Total 4.5 88% (Strong)
Score 10% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
166 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
130 predictions
Total 1.5 34% (Weak)
88 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
147 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
210 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
229 predictions

Match overview

Related matches

Finished
23 May 18:00 UTC
Cerro Largo vs Boston River
1X2 Home
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 3:0
Finished
23 May 21:30 UTC
Nacional vs Albion
1X2 Home
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Under 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 1:0
Awaits result
22 May 22:30 UTC
Liverpool FC vs Racing
1X2 Home
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
O 1.5 O 2.5 U 3.5 U 4.5
Score 2 : 1
Finished
24 May 13:00 UTC
Cerro vs Central Espanol
1X2 Home
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Under 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 1:0
Finished
24 May 18:00 UTC
Montevideo Wanderers vs Deportivo Maldonado
1X2 Draw
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 1:1
Finished
24 May 21:30 UTC
Defensor Sporting vs Club Atletico Penarol
1X2 Away
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Under 3.5 Under 4.5 Under
Score 0:2
Finished
18 May 21:30 UTC
Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio
1X2 Home
Both teams to score Yes
Over/Under
1.5 Over 2.5 Over 3.5 Over 4.5 Under
Score 3:1
Awaits result
17 May 21:00 UTC
Albion vs Montevideo Wanderers
1X2 Home
Both teams to score No
Over/Under
O 1.5 U 2.5 U 3.5 U 4.5
Score 2 : 0