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Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Intermedio Grp. A

23 May 2026 18:00 UTC

CERRO LARGO vs BOSTON RIVER

Final 3:0

Cerro Largo won Last goal: Cerro Largo

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Alexander Hernandez — Cerro Largo

2nd half

  1. ⚽ Tiziano Correa — Cerro Largo
  2. ⚽ Boris Barone — Cerro Largo
  3. 🟥 Franco Pérez (straight red) — Boston River

Model predictions were

Nice call
37%
1X2
Cerro Largo
Result: Cerro Largo
Nice call
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: No
No surprise
32%
Total 1.5
Under

Chance of 1 or fewer goals

Result: Over
As expected
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Over
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
5%
Score
1:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 3:0

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 41% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 71 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 285 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 234 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 55% (Average)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 58 past matches

1X2 26% (Weak)
Both teams to score 55% (Good)
Total 1.5 57% (Good)
Total 2.5 53% (Average)
Total 3.5 72% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
166 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
130 predictions
Total 1.5 34% (Weak)
88 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
147 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
210 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
229 predictions

Match overview

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