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Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Intermedio Grp. B

24 May 2026 18:00 UTC

MONTEVIDEO WANDERERS vs DEPORTIVO MALDONADO

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Montevideo Wanderers

Match timeline

1st half

  1. ⚽ Cristian Tabo — Deportivo Maldonado
  2. ⚽ Joaquín Zeballos (penalty) — Montevideo Wanderers

Model predictions were

As expected
37%
1X2
Montevideo Wanderers
Result: Draw
As expected
54%
Both teams to score
No

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes
Solid call
70%
Total 1.5
Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over
Nice call
51%
Total 2.5
Under

Chance of 2 or fewer goals

Result: Under
Solid call
73%
Total 3.5
Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under
On point
89%
Total 4.5
Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under
As expected
7%
Score
2:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 35% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+2; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 26 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 26% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 288 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 237 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)
Both teams to score 51% (Average)
Total 1.5 54% (Average)
Total 2.5 50% (Average)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 91% (Strong)
Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 41 past matches

1X2 44% (Weak)
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
Total 1.5 56% (Good)
Total 2.5 39% (Weak)
Total 3.5 73% (Strong)
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
Score 7% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)
169 predictions
Both teams to score 54% (Average)
133 predictions
Total 1.5 67% (Strong)
147 predictions
Total 2.5 54% (Average)
150 predictions
Total 3.5 79% (Strong)
213 predictions
Total 4.5 93% (Strong)
232 predictions

Match overview

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