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Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura

03 May 2026 15:00 UTC

BOSTON RIVER vs CENTRAL ESPANOL

Final 2:1

Boston River won Last goal: Central Espanol

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Facundo Muñoa — Boston River

2nd half

⚽ Facundo Muñoa — Boston River
⚽ Lucas Pino — Central Espanol

Model predictions were

37%

1X2

Central Espanol

Result: Boston River

48%

Both teams to score

Yes

Chance that both teams score

Result: Yes

70%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

45%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Over

73%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

89%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

1:2

Chance of this exact score

Result: 2:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 33% (Weak)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (-1; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 40 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 268 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 218 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)

Both teams to score 52% (Average)

Total 1.5 55% (Average)

Total 2.5 51% (Average)

Total 3.5 73% (Strong)

Total 4.5 92% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 39 past matches

1X2 33% (Weak)

Both teams to score 44% (Weak)

Total 1.5 54% (Average)

Total 2.5 54% (Average)

Total 3.5 72% (Strong)

Total 4.5 87% (Strong)

Score 5% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)

151 predictions

Both teams to score 46% (Average)

99 predictions

Total 1.5 66% (Strong)

134 predictions

Total 2.5 43% (Weak)

80 predictions

Total 3.5 79% (Strong)

195 predictions

Total 4.5 93% (Strong)

213 predictions

Match overview

Match result and prediction analysis for Boston River vs Central Espanol. The match ended 2-1 in Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura. The model leaned toward Central Espanol with a low-confidence projection (36.6%).

While the winner prediction missed, other signals held up well. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 91.7% of matches across a sample of 218 games. Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 43.6% in a sample of 39 team involvements.

Market-level signals were consistent and accurate across the settled lines. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (70.1%) appeared as a strong signal and was correctly identified. Over 2.5 goals (44.6%) came in as a low-confidence signal and held up in the final outcome.

Both teams to score (48.2%) aligned with the result. The model output remains a useful reference when combined with match context. Used with league and team context, this post-match review supports clearer decision-making for upcoming fixtures.