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Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura

03 May 2026 18:30 UTC

RACING vs MONTEVIDEO CITY TORQUE

Final 1:1

Draw Last goal: Montevideo City Torque

Match timeline

1st half

⚽ Martín Ferreira — Racing
⚽ Nahuel Da Silva — Montevideo City Torque
🟥 Álex Vázquez (straight red) — Racing

2nd half

🟥 Diego Guzman (straight red) — Montevideo City Torque

Model predictions were

45%

1X2

Racing

Result: Draw

57%

Both teams to score

Chance at least one team fails to score

Result: Yes

70%

Total 1.5

Over

Chance of 2 or more goals

Result: Over

45%

Total 2.5

Over

Chance of 3 or more goals

Result: Under

73%

Total 3.5

Under

Chance of 3 or fewer goals

Result: Under

89%

Total 4.5

Under

Chance of 4 or fewer goals

Result: Under

Score

3:0

Chance of this exact score

Result: 1:1

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

Probability in similar matches 67% (Strong)

How often the predicted 1X2 outcome matched the final result in past matches in this league when the model’s predicted score line had the same home-minus-away goal difference (+3; home goals minus away goals).

Based on 15 past matches with this goal margin in this league.

Draw likelihood 27% (Typical)

Historical draw rate in this league. Low / Typical / High is relative to usual draw frequencies, not model accuracy.

Based on 268 finished matches in this league.

League

Historical model performance in this league before this match date.

Based on 218 completed matches.

1X2 38% (Weak)

Both teams to score 52% (Average)

Total 1.5 55% (Average)

Total 2.5 51% (Average)

Total 3.5 73% (Strong)

Total 4.5 92% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

More stats

Teams

This shows how the model performed in matches with these teams.

Based on 54 past matches

1X2 35% (Weak)

Both teams to score 57% (Good)

Total 1.5 63% (Good)

Total 2.5 50% (Average)

Total 3.5 63% (Good)

Total 4.5 87% (Strong)

Score 9% (Weak)

Markets

This shows how often each type of prediction was correct in this league.

1X2 38% (Weak)

151 predictions

Both teams to score 56% (Good)

119 predictions

Total 1.5 66% (Strong)

134 predictions

Total 2.5 43% (Weak)

80 predictions

Total 3.5 79% (Strong)

195 predictions

Total 4.5 93% (Strong)

213 predictions

Match overview

Match result and prediction analysis for Racing vs Montevideo City Torque. The match ended 1-1 in Uruguay · Primera Division · Liga AUF Uruguaya Apertura. The model leaned toward Racing with a low-confidence projection (45.3%).

The main outcome missed, but several market signals were accurate. Market-level signals were partially accurate across the main goal-related markets. Key market checks included over 1.5 goals (70.1%) appeared as a high-confidence indicator and was correctly identified.

Over 2.5 goals (44.6%) appeared as a weak indicator and fell short of the result. Both teams to score (56.7%) did not land. League trends indicate that high-scoring matches are common, with over 4.5 goals appearing in 91.7% of matches across a sample of 218 games.

Team-level data also supports an attacking profile, with both teams to score around 57.4% in a sample of 54 team involvements. The model output remains a useful reference when combined with match context. This prediction analysis remains most effective when result context, market outcomes, and team tendencies are read together.

RACING vs MONTEVIDEO CITY TORQUE

Match timeline

1st half

2nd half

Model predictions were

Model Context Was

Match prediction context

League

Teams

Markets

Match overview

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